Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette Leopards | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.6% | 71.4% | +5.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles +2 (60-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Butler | 38 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +4.8 |
| Andrew Phillips | 35 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +4.6 |
| Justin Vander Baan | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | +6.5 |
| Caleb Williams | 33 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -1.1 |
| Alex Chaikin | 31 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +7.3 |
| Ryan Pettit | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6.2 |
| Misha Bednostin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.6 |
| TJ Berger | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5.7 |
| Folabomi Fayemi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Jones | 33 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Colin Smalls | 31 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Elijah Stephens | 31 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | +5.6 |
| Matt Rogers | 26 | 9-12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | +5.6 |
| Geoff Sprouse | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -8.6 |
| Lincoln Ball | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Matt Mayock | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.2 |
| Wyatt Nausadis | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.3 |
| Eric Michaels | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Mason Whittaker | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
* = starter