Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | +0.7 | ✗ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Lehigh Mountain Hawks -3 (75-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Stephens | 42 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 20 | +6.5 |
| Lincoln Ball | 34 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +9.5 |
| Matt Mayock | 31 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 0 | +3.4 |
| Matt Rogers | 28 | 11-18 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 13 | +7.5 |
| Wyatt Nausadis | 27 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0.4 |
| Colin Smalls | 25 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Geoff Sprouse | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.1 |
| Mason Whittaker | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Eric Michaels | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3.9 |
| Julen Iturbe | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.9 |
| Adrian Samuels | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Gillus | 41 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 6-12 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | -2.3 |
| Tyler Whitney-Sidney | 41 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Joshua Ingram | 35 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 10-12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 18 | -13.4 |
| Nasir Whitlock | 31 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | +8.6 |
| Hank Alvey | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Ben Knostman | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +6.6 |
| Alfredo Addesa | 16 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -8.9 |
| Edouard Benoit | 16 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | +2.3 |
* = starter