Model Predictions
| Model | Navy Midshipmen | Lafayette Leopards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.5% | 59.5% | +2.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lafayette Leopards +10 (61-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Benigni | 35 | 7-19 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | -13.8 |
| Aidan Kehoe | 33 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -17.7 |
| Jordan Pennick | 30 | 5-16 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | -12.6 |
| Jinwoo Kim | 29 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Donovan Draper | 24 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | +2.7 |
| Mike Woods | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -8.8 |
| Carnegie Johnson | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -8.6 |
| Lysander Rehnstrom | 12 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Mitch Fischer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Butler | 37 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +14.0 |
| Justin Vander Baan | 36 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 17 | +13.9 |
| Caleb Williams | 36 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 6 | +8.1 |
| Alex Chaikin | 33 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | +21.7 |
| Andrew Phillips | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | +12.4 |
| Ryan Pettit | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -4.1 |
| TJ Berger | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Folabomi Fayemi | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4.7 |
* = starter