Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Bucknell Bison | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.7% | 71.3% | +5.0 | ✓ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bucknell Bison +22 (71-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Ball | 31 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -16.9 |
| Matt Mayock | 30 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | -21.8 |
| Wyatt Nausadis | 27 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -10.6 |
| Colin Smalls | 22 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -25.4 |
| Matt Rogers | 21 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | -26.1 |
| Eric Michaels | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Adrian Samuels | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Mason Whittaker | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Julen Iturbe | 12 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -5.7 |
Bucknell Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Bascoe | 32 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | +19.5 |
| Noah Williamson | 27 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 24 | +18.8 |
| Achile Spadone | 26 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | +10.8 |
| Elvin Edmonds IV | 22 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +20.9 |
| Ruot Bijiek | 22 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +18.9 |
| Brandon McCreesh | 22 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +10.6 |
| Jayden Williams | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +10.7 |
| Josh Fulton | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Pip Ajayi | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.8 |
| Kellen Welch | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.0 |
* = starter