Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette Leopards | Colgate Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.9% | 73.1% | +5.5 | ✗ (20.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colgate Raiders -15 (61-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Butler | 38 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 20 | +19.6 |
| Alex Chaikin | 35 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | +13.2 |
| Andrew Phillips | 32 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | +10.2 |
| Justin Vander Baan | 31 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13 | +15.0 |
| Caleb Williams | 31 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | +14.6 |
| Ryan Pettit | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +7.0 |
| Malik Rasul | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +7.5 |
| Misha Bednostin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.4 |
| Luka Savicevic | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.0 |
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Louis-Jacques | 29 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -13.1 |
| Parker Jones | 28 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -19.0 |
| Jalen Cox | 27 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | -10.7 |
| Jeff Woodward | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | -23.9 |
| Chandler Baker | 21 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -9.5 |
| Josh Ahayere | 16 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +7.0 |
| Julian Scott | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -5.2 |
| Brady Cummins | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -5.6 |
| Kyle Carlesimo | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -11.8 |
| Sam Wright | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2.8 |
| Blake Forrest | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.7 |
* = starter