Model Predictions
| Model | Army Black Knights | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.2% | 77.8% | +6.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles +3 (71-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Army Black Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Curry | 38 | 7-15 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | -0.5 |
| J. Rucker | 37 | 7-18 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | -2 | +3.6 |
| J. Scovens | 33 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | -8.9 |
| I. Caldwell | 25 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +5.8 |
| AJ Allenspach | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -16.5 |
| T. Laczkowski | 16 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +11.3 |
| B. Barker | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| J. Holloway | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +7.3 |
| J. Everson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.0 |
| K. McCarthy | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| K. Hailey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4.0 |
| D. Polk | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Stephens | 33 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 6 | -8.9 |
| Lincoln Ball | 32 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | +10.4 |
| Greg Jones | 30 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | +14.3 |
| Matt Rogers | 28 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | -3.8 |
| Colin Smalls | 27 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | -7.1 |
| Matt Mayock | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -2.7 |
| Wyatt Nausadis | 10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +6.0 |
| Eric Michaels | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.1 |
| Julen Iturbe | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Mason Whittaker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.0 |
| Adrian Samuels | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.9 |
* = starter