Model Predictions
| Model | Colgate Raiders | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles +4 (81-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Jones | 32 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4.4 |
| Jeff Woodward | 30 | 12-19 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 18 | -3.2 |
| Jalen Cox | 30 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | -15.6 |
| Nicolas Louis-Jacques | 29 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | -17.4 |
| Brady Cummins | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -20.6 |
| Chandler Baker | 21 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | +11.6 |
| Kyle Carlesimo | 13 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +14.5 |
| Julian Scott | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | +11.5 |
| Sam Wright | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -0.5 |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Stephens | 36 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | +5.1 |
| Greg Jones | 32 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | +7.3 |
| Matt Rogers | 31 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 17 | +7.2 |
| Lincoln Ball | 29 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Matt Mayock | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +3.6 |
| Colin Smalls | 23 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Eric Michaels | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +4.0 |
| Wyatt Nausadis | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.6 |
| Julen Iturbe | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.9 |
| Adrian Samuels | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.9 |
| Mason Whittaker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter