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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Navy Midshipmen Bucknell Bison Spread Result
Elo 39.1% 60.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% - โœ“
Margin 23.1% 76.9% +6.6 โœ“ (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.1% 73.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 25.9% 74.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.2% 65.8% - โœ“

Actual: Bucknell Bison +4 (73-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Navy Midshipmen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Benigni 37 8-17 2-4 5-5 5 5 2 0 3 23 15 +5.4
Aidan Kehoe 36 4-7 0-0 1-3 11 0 2 0 2 9 13 +7.3
Jinwoo Kim 30 4-8 2-2 3-4 1 0 0 0 1 13 5 +6.9
Donovan Draper 30 3-9 0-4 3-3 10 2 1 0 2 9 11 +6.3
Jordan Pennick 25 2-7 1-2 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 5 0 -4.1
Cam Cole 14 1-6 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -4 +1.6
Mike Woods 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 3 4 -3.8
Lysander Rehnstrom 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 +2.3
Carnegie Johnson 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -4.8
Mitch Fischer 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -4.9

Bucknell Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Bascoe 37 6-11 4-6 2-2 4 7 3 0 2 18 19 +5.9
Achile Spadone 36 1-5 0-2 6-6 4 1 1 0 0 8 9 -7.2
Ruot Bijiek 33 3-7 0-3 3-3 4 0 0 0 0 9 6 -5.2
Brandon McCreesh 31 1-4 1-3 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 5 6 +1.8
Noah Williamson 29 9-15 1-4 6-12 8 1 1 1 4 25 17 -8.1
Jayden Williams 18 1-3 0-2 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 -0.6
Pip Ajayi 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 0 4 7 +5.8
Brady Muller 5 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -3.1

* = starter