Model Predictions
| Model | Colgate Raiders | Lafayette Leopards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.8% | 50.2% | +0.0 | ✗ (23.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Lafayette Leopards -23 (67-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Jones | 29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | +23.1 |
| Nicolas Louis-Jacques | 28 | 8-11 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | +17.2 |
| Brady Cummins | 27 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +18.2 |
| Jeff Woodward | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 19 | +21.6 |
| Jalen Cox | 25 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | +12.7 |
| Kyle Carlesimo | 19 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +9.6 |
| Chandler Baker | 16 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Sam Wright | 14 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Julian Scott | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +3.4 |
| Stevie Clark | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Cameron Brennan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Josh Ahayere | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Blake Forrest | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Chaikin | 36 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | -16.8 |
| Caleb Williams | 34 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -22.1 |
| Mark Butler | 29 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -16.5 |
| Andrew Phillips | 29 | 8-15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | -20.5 |
| Justin Vander Baan | 28 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 19 | -17.2 |
| Luka Savicevic | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -6.0 |
| Malik Rasul | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Misha Bednostin | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -2.4 |
* = starter