Model Predictions
| Model | Colgate Raiders | Navy Midshipmen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | +0.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Navy Midshipmen -7 (66-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Scott | 31 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -3.9 |
| Jeff Woodward | 30 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 27 | +9.1 |
| Parker Jones | 30 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | -0.8 |
| Nicolas Louis-Jacques | 29 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | +10.6 |
| Kyle Carlesimo | 23 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -4.5 |
| Brady Cummins | 19 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Chandler Baker | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Sam Wright | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -7.1 |
| Blake Forrest | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.8 |
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Draper | 37 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 17 | +1.2 |
| Austin Benigni | 37 | 11-21 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 15 | +0.1 |
| Aidan Kehoe | 34 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -4.9 |
| Cam Cole | 26 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | -3.0 |
| Jordan Pennick | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | +4.9 |
| Jinwoo Kim | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -4.6 |
| Mitch Fischer | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.1 |
| Lysander Rehnstrom | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1.0 |
| Mike Woods | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Carnegie Johnson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.9 |
* = starter