Model Predictions
| Model | Bucknell Bison | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles +10 (68-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bucknell Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Bascoe | 39 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | -8.9 |
| Noah Williamson | 36 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 19 | -11.4 |
| Ruot Bijiek | 35 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 | -14.4 |
| Achile Spadone | 34 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Elvin Edmonds IV | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | -6.3 |
| Jayden Williams | 15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -10.0 |
| Brandon McCreesh | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +1.9 |
| Pip Ajayi | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +1.0 |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Stephens | 34 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | +11.5 |
| Lincoln Ball | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +7.2 |
| Greg Jones | 29 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | +9.5 |
| Colin Smalls | 29 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +8.9 |
| Matt Rogers | 22 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 16 | +2.6 |
| Matt Mayock | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9.2 |
| Eric Michaels | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.1 |
| Julen Iturbe | 13 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | +0.1 |
| Wyatt Nausadis | 11 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Mason Whittaker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +2.1 |
* = starter