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2025-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Lehigh Mountain Hawks Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 30.1% 69.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Margin 27.6% 72.4% +5.3 โœ“ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 33.7% 66.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 33.6% 66.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.8% 62.2% - โœ“

Actual: Colgate Raiders +5 (67-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Lehigh Mountain Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cam Gillus 33 3-14 2-6 3-4 7 5 2 0 3 11 8 -5.0
Tyler Whitney-Sidney 30 1-6 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 2 0 -15.4
Joshua Ingram 30 3-7 2-5 1-2 8 1 3 0 2 9 12 -3.2
Nasir Whitlock 29 10-17 2-4 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 23 9 +0.1
Hank Alvey 29 3-11 1-2 2-4 7 0 1 2 1 9 7 -3.0
Ben Knostman 22 1-8 1-6 0-0 3 4 2 0 0 3 4 +1.5
Edouard Benoit 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 3 4 +5.1
Tommy Conniff 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -3.9

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Parker Jones 33 4-11 2-6 1-2 12 3 0 0 1 11 14 +5.0
Jalen Cox 31 2-5 1-4 4-4 4 4 1 0 4 9 9 +5.1
Jeff Woodward 31 9-18 0-0 2-2 12 0 0 2 3 20 13 +14.4
Nicolas Louis-Jacques 29 2-6 0-4 0-0 2 2 2 1 1 4 4 +1.6
Brady Cummins 28 4-6 0-1 5-5 4 2 1 0 0 13 14 +20.0
Chandler Baker 17 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 -9.7
Kyle Carlesimo 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 0 1 +6.0
Sam Wright 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -1.9
Josh Ahayere 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -10.9
Julian Scott 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 +2.9
Blake Forrest 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.0

* = starter