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2025-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Lafayette Leopards Bucknell Bison Spread Result
Elo 24.4% 75.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% - โœ“
Margin 21.1% 78.9% +7.3 โœ“ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 40.5% 59.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 25.6% 74.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 25.3% 74.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.5% 66.5% - โœ“

Actual: Bucknell Bison +3 (65-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Lafayette Leopards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Vander Baan 39 6-8 0-1 2-5 10 3 1 5 1 14 24 +3.6
Mark Butler 38 1-7 0-1 2-2 2 2 2 0 1 4 2 +4.1
Andrew Phillips 37 7-13 2-5 0-0 7 0 2 1 4 16 9 -0.5
Caleb Williams 36 5-14 0-3 1-2 7 2 0 0 1 11 5 -11.3
Alex Chaikin 33 5-13 1-4 2-2 3 1 1 0 3 13 2 +2.7
Ryan Pettit 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 2 4 +5.8
Luka Savicevic 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -4.6
Malik Rasul 8 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 +3.2
Misha Bednostin 6 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -6.5

Bucknell Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Bascoe 43 8-15 5-10 2-3 2 1 0 2 3 23 10 +1.9
Achile Spadone 40 1-4 0-2 0-0 7 1 2 0 0 2 8 -4.9
Noah Williamson 36 7-21 1-7 1-2 8 1 1 0 5 16 0 +0.5
Elvin Edmonds IV 35 2-5 1-3 2-2 3 3 0 0 2 7 6 -1.5
Ruot Bijiek 33 2-9 1-3 0-0 6 2 0 2 2 5 4 -1.9
Brandon McCreesh 15 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 5 6 +7.2
Pip Ajayi 10 1-1 0-0 1-4 1 1 1 0 0 3 5 -2.3
Jayden Williams 10 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 3 +2.1
Brady Muller 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +2.9

* = starter