Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette Leopards | Navy Midshipmen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | +3.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Navy Midshipmen +1 (71-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Vander Baan | 33 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 17 | +0.6 |
| Mark Butler | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | +4.5 |
| Caleb Williams | 32 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | +4.6 |
| Alex Chaikin | 31 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +7.4 |
| Andrew Phillips | 26 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | +7.9 |
| Ryan Pettit | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.1 |
| Malik Rasul | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Misha Bednostin | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -10.9 |
| Luka Savicevic | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.9 |
| TJ Berger | 5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -2.0 |
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Benigni | 37 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | -0.6 |
| Donovan Draper | 36 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 15 | -0.7 |
| Jinwoo Kim | 32 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Jordan Pennick | 31 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | -7.7 |
| Aidan Kehoe | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | -2.0 |
| Cam Cole | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9.9 |
| Mitch Fischer | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.6 |
| Lysander Rehnstrom | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +7.6 |
| Jack Medalie | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.8 |
| Carnegie Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
* = starter