Model Predictions
| Model | Holy Cross Crusaders | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | +6.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles +11 (75-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Holy Cross Crusaders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Green | 39 | 7-17 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | -7.2 |
| J. Nugent | 33 | 6-9 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | -7.2 |
| C. Kenney | 32 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | -1 | -8.9 |
| J. Feroah | 31 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -1.7 |
| D. Williams | 29 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -13.2 |
| K. Singleton | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -3.7 |
| A. Richard | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +4.3 |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Stephens | 33 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +8.2 |
| M. Mayock | 29 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | -2.5 |
| G. Jones | 29 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +3.4 |
| L. Ball | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | +15.9 |
| M. Rogers | 27 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | -1.6 |
| C. Smalls | 22 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +4.0 |
| W. Nausadis | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +4.9 |
| J. Iturbe | 12 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +5.4 |
* = starter