Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✗ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: American University Eagles -3 (93-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Banks Jr. | 46 | 11-20 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 17 | +4.6 |
| Bryce Johnson | 45 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 15 | +4.4 |
| Ace Valentine | 45 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | +8.0 |
| Josh Odunowo | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | -0.3 |
| Marlon Short | 30 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Regimantas Ciunys | 19 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +7.3 |
| Louie Jordan | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +6.7 |
| Devan Sapp | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -7.8 |
| JC Harris | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Chaydon Stone | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Tim Eze | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoff Sprouse | 41 | 5-11 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | -4.7 |
| Matt Rogers | 38 | 15-20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 25 | -7.9 |
| Matt Mayock | 37 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 5-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | -5.1 |
| Colin Smalls | 37 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | -2.3 |
| Lincoln Ball | 31 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | +3.6 |
| Greg Jones | 30 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -3.4 |
| Elijah Stephens | 26 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Julen Iturbe | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Mason Whittaker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Wyatt Nausadis | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +3.1 |
* = starter