Model Predictions
| Model | Navy Midshipmen | William & Mary Tribe | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.3% | 73.7% | +5.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: William & Mary Tribe +6 (82-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinwoo Kim | 34 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Austin Benigni | 33 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | -3.5 |
| Aidan Kehoe | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 18 | -2.3 |
| Jordan Pennick | 26 | 4-14 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | +3.3 |
| Donovan Draper | 26 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | -3.7 |
| Mitch Fischer | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -2.6 |
| Jack Medalie | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.6 |
| Cam Cole | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.1 |
| Carnegie Johnson | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Lysander Rehnstrom | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -6.7 |
| Sam Krist | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Mike Woods | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.2 |
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Dorsey | 28 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | +4.8 |
| Keller Boothby | 28 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | +5.6 |
| Chase Lowe | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 21 | -2.9 |
| Isaiah Mbeng | 24 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +4.0 |
| Noah Collier | 23 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | +4.8 |
| Caleb Dorsey | 20 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +8.5 |
| Kyle Frazier | 20 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +3.1 |
| Matteus Case | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -9.3 |
| Malachi Ndur | 12 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3.6 |
| Ryan Jackson Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Luke Kinkade | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
* = starter