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2024-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears Navy Midshipmen Spread Result
Elo 32.1% 67.9% -
Bradley-Terry 61.6% 38.4% -
Margin 54.5% 45.5% -1.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% -
Efficiency 49.7% 50.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.8% 34.2% -
Log Adjusted 65.7% 34.3% -
Points Off/Def 50.5% 49.5% -

Actual: Navy Midshipmen -5 (66-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Tynes * 35 8-15 1-2 2-2 4 8 4 1 5 19 16 +2.3
Q. Burns * 33 8-9 1-2 4-4 4 0 2 1 2 21 17 +4.4
A.J. Lopez * 33 2-9 1-3 5-6 1 0 1 0 2 10 1 -5.5
J. Clayton * 28 2-6 0-0 0-1 4 3 3 0 0 4 8 -3.2
K. Steele * 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 3 -4.4
K. Gribben 21 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 4 5 +20.1
C. Mantis 21 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 1 -7.3
R. Tutic 10 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 1 4 -2.4
N. Perovic 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 +3.5
L. Carey 4 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -1 +2.8

Navy Midshipmen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Kehoe * 35 7-11 0-0 2-3 12 2 0 0 1 16 18 +8.9
A. Benigni * 35 3-9 0-2 2-3 3 5 1 0 3 8 5 -1.5
J. Pennick * 26 3-8 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 8 0 -3.3
D. Draper * 26 3-6 0-1 3-3 5 2 1 1 3 9 9 -2.5
L. Rehnstrom * 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 +4.0
J. Kim 19 5-9 3-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 13 5 -14.3
J. Medalie 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 2 -2 +0.4
S. Krist 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 2 +6.1
C. Cole 6 1-1 0-0 1-4 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 +0.6
C. Johnson 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -6.7
M. Woods 5 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 3 0 0 2 5 -

* = starter