Model Predictions
| Model | Navy Midshipmen | Elon Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.1% | 80.9% | +7.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Elon Phoenix +6 (69-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Benigni * | 27 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | -2.1 |
| Aidan Kehoe * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8.1 |
| Jordan Pennick * | 23 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -4 | +1.9 |
| Donovan Draper * | 15 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | -7.1 |
| Lysander Rehnstrom * | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10.2 |
| Jack Medalie | 25 | 4-11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -7.6 |
| Sam Krist | 17 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +10.9 |
| Cam Cole | 16 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | +10.5 |
| Jinwoo Kim | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Carnegie Johnson | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +4.7 |
| Mike Woods | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.5 |
| Mitch Fischer | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.7 |
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TK Simpkins * | 34 | 6-14 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | -0.2 |
| Sam Sherry * | 33 | 1-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +7.6 |
| Matthew Van Komen * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -4.5 |
| Nick Dorn * | 30 | 6-15 | 6-13 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 7 | +2.1 |
| D. King * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +10.6 |
| TJ Simpkins | 22 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 7-10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Isaac Harrell | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -13.3 |
| Kendall Campbell | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Jameel Rideout | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
* = starter