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2024-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Navy Midshipmen Elon Phoenix Spread Result
Elo 64.1% 35.9% -
Bradley-Terry 34.1% 65.9% -
Margin 19.1% 80.9% +7.9 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% -
Efficiency 46.6% 53.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.6% 78.4% -
Log Adjusted 21.4% 78.6% -
Points Off/Def 32.6% 67.4% -

Actual: Elon Phoenix +6 (69-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Navy Midshipmen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Benigni * 27 7-12 2-3 2-2 4 3 0 0 0 18 13 -2.1
A. Kehoe * 25 1-5 0-0 0-1 4 1 1 2 1 2 4 -8.1
J. Pennick * 23 0-6 0-5 1-2 3 2 0 0 4 1 -4 +1.9
D. Draper * 15 0-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -5 -7.1
L. Rehnstrom * 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 5 -10.2
J. Medalie 25 4-11 0-6 0-0 7 1 1 0 0 8 6 -7.6
S. Krist 17 3-8 3-6 3-3 2 0 2 0 0 12 8 +10.9
C. Cole 16 3-5 2-3 3-3 3 1 0 0 0 11 10 +10.5
J. Kim 14 1-5 0-2 2-3 4 1 0 0 1 4 3 +0.4
C. Johnson 13 1-3 0-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 4 4 +4.7
M. Woods 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -1.5
M. Fischer 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.7

Elon Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TK Simpkins * 34 6-14 4-7 4-4 6 1 2 0 2 20 13 -0.2
S. Sherry * 33 1-10 0-1 0-0 7 3 1 0 1 2 2 +7.6
M. Van Komen * 30 3-5 0-0 3-4 12 0 0 4 3 9 17 -4.5
N. Dorn * 30 6-15 6-13 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 21 7 +2.1
D. King * 24 0-4 0-4 0-0 6 4 1 0 0 0 7 +10.6
TJ Simpkins 22 4-11 0-3 7-10 3 3 1 0 2 15 9 -
I. Harrell 15 0-3 0-2 1-2 5 0 0 1 0 1 4 -13.3
K. Campbell 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 1 4 +0.6
J. Rideout 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 +0.8

* = starter