Model Predictions
| Model | Colgate Raiders | Sam Houston Bearkats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sam Houston Bearkats +4 (82-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Cummins * | 32 | 8-13 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | -2.9 |
| Parker Jones * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | -7.1 |
| Nicolas Louis-Jacques * | 28 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | -6.3 |
| Sam Wright * | 28 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | -4.6 |
| Jalen Cox * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -6.6 |
| Blake Forrest | 22 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +1.5 |
| Chandler Baker | 16 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2 | +7.4 |
| Kyle Carlesimo | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +3.3 |
| Cameron Brennan | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Julian Scott | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.9 |
Sam Houston Bearkats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Wilkerson * | 37 | 7-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | +2.9 |
| Brennen Burns * | 29 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | +4.5 |
| Dorian Finister * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | -2.8 |
| Cameron Huefner * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +4.8 |
| Kalifa Sakho * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +11.6 |
| Kian Scroggins | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | -3.6 |
| Josiah Hammons | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +3.7 |
| Erik Taylor | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -4.1 |
| Jaxson Ford | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
* = starter