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2024-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Colgate Raiders Sam Houston Bearkats Spread Result
Elo 26.5% 73.5% -
Bradley-Terry 43.1% 56.9% -
Margin 20.4% 79.6% +7.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 52.6% 47.4% -
Efficiency 53.9% 46.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.1% 76.9% -
Log Adjusted 23.0% 77.0% -
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% -

Actual: Sam Houston Bearkats +4 (82-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Cummins * 32 8-13 2-6 2-3 1 2 0 0 2 20 8 -2.9
P. Jones * 31 3-6 1-3 0-1 7 1 0 0 5 7 4 -7.1
N. Louis-Jacques * 28 6-7 3-4 0-0 6 4 0 0 1 15 17 -6.3
S. Wright * 28 6-10 2-4 4-4 7 2 0 0 1 18 16 -4.6
J. Cox * 15 0-3 0-2 0-2 1 4 1 0 2 0 1 -6.6
B. Forrest 22 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 8 10 +1.5
C. Baker 16 2-9 2-8 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 6 -2 +7.4
K. Carlesimo 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 +3.3
C. Brennan 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 4 6 +1.0
J. Scott 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.9

Sam Houston Bearkats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Wilkerson * 37 7-14 3-9 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 17 9 +2.9
B. Burns * 29 5-6 0-0 5-7 0 4 2 0 0 15 15 +4.5
D. Finister * 29 4-10 1-1 6-6 8 0 0 0 0 15 13 -2.8
C. Huefner * 25 4-8 0-2 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 8 5 +4.8
K. Sakho * 12 2-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 7 +11.6
K. Scroggins 28 3-7 0-0 4-6 5 2 2 0 4 10 8 -3.6
J. Hammons 24 1-2 1-2 3-3 1 1 0 0 1 6 5 +3.7
E. Taylor 11 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 2 -4.1
J. Ford 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.0

* = starter