Model Predictions
| Model | Colgate Raiders | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | +6.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +22 (72-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Wright * | 32 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | -19.7 |
| Parker Jones * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | -17.8 |
| Jalen Cox * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -10.5 |
| Brady Cummins * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -11.6 |
| Nicolas Louis-Jacques * | 26 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | -9.6 |
| Chandler Baker | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -4.6 |
| Kyle Carlesimo | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Blake Forrest | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.6 |
| Cameron Brennan | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -8.8 |
| Josh Ahayere | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Cooper Wright | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Julian Scott | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Stevie Clark | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Huntley * | 36 | 8-13 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | +6.5 |
| Jackson Threadgill * | 35 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +15.8 |
| Myles Tate * | 33 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 18 | +20.0 |
| Dior Conners * | 32 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +15.3 |
| Jalil Beaubrun * | 21 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +10.7 |
| Luke Wilson | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +9.6 |
| Anthony Alston | 13 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +14.2 |
| Alonzo Dodd | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.6 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +3.0 |
| Will Coble | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ben Ezeagu | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter