Model Predictions
| Model | Colgate Raiders | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.3% | 91.7% | +13.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +23 (72-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Cummins * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -23.4 |
| Parker Jones * | 24 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 | -12.2 |
| Nicolas Louis-Jacques * | 24 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -2 | -25.6 |
| Jeff Woodward * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -18.0 |
| Jalen Cox * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -12.3 |
| Blake Forrest | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Chandler Baker | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -19.0 |
| Sam Wright | 14 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -7.0 |
| Cameron Brennan | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +4.9 |
| Julian Scott | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
| Kyle Carlesimo | 11 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Stevie Clark | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Cooper Wright | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Josh Ahayere | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael O'Connell * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +18.5 |
| Marcus Hill * | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | +23.4 |
| D. Styles * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | +23.4 |
| J. Taylor * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +16.4 |
| B. Huntley-Hatfield * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | +12.4 |
| Breon Pass | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +10.0 |
| Bryce Heard | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.9 |
| Dennis Parker Jr. | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Ben Middlebrooks | 16 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 21 | +8.9 |
| Paul Mcneil | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Snell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| KJ Keatts | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.0 |
* = starter