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2024-11-13

Model Predictions

Model Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Bucknell Bison Spread Result
Elo 54.0% 46.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 66.9% 33.1% - โœ“
Margin 30.6% 69.4% +4.5 โœ— (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 44.2% 55.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 34.2% 65.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 33.7% 66.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 38.0% 62.0% - โœ—

Actual: Bucknell Bison -4 (89-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Xavier Lipscomb * 39 4-9 2-5 2-3 4 2 1 0 4 12 6 +4.4
Carmelo Pacheco * 38 3-10 3-10 1-2 3 3 1 0 0 10 7 +10.1
Dallas Hobbs * 36 5-14 4-9 5-6 6 1 2 0 2 19 12 +9.2
Terrell Ard Jr. * 32 6-10 0-1 1-3 6 2 0 1 1 13 11 +4.1
Dola Adebayo * 28 3-5 0-1 0-2 7 1 0 0 3 6 6 -8.8
Jedy Cordilia 35 8-10 0-0 6-8 8 3 0 2 3 22 22 +8.9
Arlandus Keyes 18 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 2 4 +3.3
A. Khadre Kebe 13 1-3 1-1 2-4 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
Javon Ervin 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -1.9
Trey Wilson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -1.9

Bucknell Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Bascoe * 43 9-16 2-5 0-0 6 4 2 1 3 20 14 -4.5
Elvin Edmonds IV * 43 7-15 0-5 2-4 9 3 2 0 4 16 11 -4.4
Noah Williamson * 41 4-14 0-4 4-8 10 2 0 3 0 12 13 +3.8
Achile Spadone * 35 4-9 2-5 2-3 1 0 2 0 1 12 5 -13.3
Ruot Bijiek * 30 6-12 1-6 1-1 5 4 1 2 0 14 14 +3.8
Brandon McCreesh 31 3-5 2-3 2-2 2 1 2 0 0 10 10 +1.9
Pip Ajayi 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 1 0 2 5 +5.0
Jayden Williams 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -5.1
Brady Muller 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -3.1
Josh Fulton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4.0

* = starter