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2024-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Colgate Raiders Drexel Dragons Spread Result
Elo 23.2% 76.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 39.3% 60.7% - ✓
Margin 23.8% 76.2% +6.4 ✓ (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 40.5% 59.5% - ✓
Efficiency 41.0% 59.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 25.7% 74.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 25.8% 74.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 35.2% 64.8% - ✓

Actual: Drexel Dragons +17 (73-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Cox * 32 4-9 0-3 5-5 5 1 4 1 0 13 15 -18.5
Brady Cummins * 32 3-12 1-5 1-2 6 0 0 0 3 8 -1 -19.4
Jeff Woodward * 31 6-11 0-0 2-4 5 3 1 0 0 14 12 -17.1
Parker Jones * 30 0-5 0-2 4-4 5 3 1 1 2 4 7 -17.1
Nicolas Louis-Jacques * 25 2-7 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 5 1 -16.1
Chandler Baker 21 4-8 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 9 2 -1.1
Blake Forrest 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -6.7
Sam Wright 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 3 +3.7
Kyle Carlesimo 9 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -0.5

Drexel Dragons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cole Hargrove * 33 5-12 3-7 2-3 9 3 0 4 0 15 19 +18.9
Kobe MaGee * 31 10-12 6-8 2-2 9 2 2 0 1 28 28 +21.5
Jason Drake * 29 2-7 1-3 0-0 5 3 1 0 5 5 2 +16.4
Yame Butler * 20 3-7 1-3 6-8 6 2 0 0 1 13 13 +9.6
Victor Panov * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 +17.8
Shane Blakeney 24 2-8 2-5 2-2 3 2 1 3 2 8 7 +13.2
Villiam Garcia Adsten 19 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 0 2 +3.7
Josh Reed 14 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 -1 -3.3
Clem Edomwonyin 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 3 +0.3
Horace Simmons 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -3.8

* = starter