Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Mercy Titans | Davidson Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.2% | 94.8% | +16.0 | ✓ (19.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Davidson Wildcats +35 (86-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Lovejoy | 33 | 2-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -34.4 |
| Grant Gondrezick II | 30 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | -2 | -27.5 |
| Nate Johnson | 28 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | -9.7 |
| Legend Geeter | 27 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | -27.3 |
| TJ Nadeau | 19 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | -15.7 |
| Miles Mitchell | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -5.7 |
| Ryan Kalambay | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -19.0 |
| Stephen Okoro | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -27.8 |
| Peter Fuchs Jr. | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chase Kuiper | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.1 |
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Bailey | 29 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 18 | +34.4 |
| Bobby Durkin | 25 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | +29.4 |
| Connor Kochera | 23 | 8-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | +30.8 |
| Sean Logan | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | +24.6 |
| Mike Loughnane | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +21.7 |
| Zach Laput | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Hunter Adam | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +6.8 |
| Roberts Blums | 16 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 2 | +13.8 |
| Joe Hurlburt | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +2.2 |
| Riccardo Ghedini | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Manie Joses | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +4.1 |
| Michael Katsock | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.1 |
| Luke Zimmerman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.1 |
| Brock Matheny | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter