Model Predictions
| Model | VMI Keydets | Davidson Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.5% | 91.5% | +13.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Davidson Wildcats +27 (93-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson * | 32 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | -25.1 |
| Rickey Bradley * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | -15.2 |
| Tan Yildizoglu * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | -22.8 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -20.3 |
| Kaden Stuckey * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -6.7 |
| Linus Holmstrom | 28 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | -25.8 |
| AJ Clark | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -6.2 |
| Robert Peters | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Cal Liston | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -4.2 |
| Maurice Wright Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Durkin * | 31 | 7-13 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | +25.6 |
| Connor Kochera * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | +19.4 |
| Reed Bailey * | 28 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 20 | +20.4 |
| Mike Loughnane * | 27 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | +23.8 |
| Sean Logan * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +10.4 |
| Zach Laput | 24 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +17.8 |
| Roberts Blums | 17 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Riccardo Ghedini | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.8 |
| Hunter Adam | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +4.1 |
| Joe Hurlburt | 3 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +4.1 |
| Luke Zimmerman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Brock Matheny | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Michael Katsock | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter