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2025-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 71.5% 28.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 78.8% 21.2% - โœ“
Margin 83.5% 16.5% -8.9 โœ“ (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 60.8% 39.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 60.8% 39.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 88.4% 11.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 88.6% 11.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 68.0% 32.0% - โœ“

Actual: Brown Bears -9 (61-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bez Mbeng 38 3-12 1-2 6-7 4 3 4 0 3 13 9 +8.3
Nick Townsend 34 4-8 1-1 2-2 3 6 1 1 1 11 13 +0.6
Casey Simmons 33 1-7 0-2 4-4 6 0 1 0 0 6 6 -5.2
John Poulakidas 30 11-17 5-10 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 27 12 +9.0
Isaac Celiscar 23 2-4 0-1 4-6 3 0 0 0 1 8 6 +3.2
Samson Aletan 22 1-2 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 5 0 2 10 +9.0
Jordan Brathwaite 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 0 4 +6.7
Trevor Mullin 7 1-1 1-1 0-1 2 0 1 0 0 3 5 -3.7
Jack Molloy 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -8.2

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kino Lilly Jr. 38 5-20 3-14 6-6 4 5 1 0 3 19 6 -7.8
Landon Lewis 30 2-9 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 3 2 4 5 -6.1
N'famara Dabo 29 2-2 0-0 0-1 9 2 3 5 1 4 20 +5.7
Aaron Cooley 26 2-7 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 6 -1 -9.8
AJ Lesburt Jr. 22 1-7 1-5 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 5 2 +1.2
Lyndel Erold 18 3-6 2-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 8 1 -3.9
Adrian Uchidiuno 17 3-5 0-2 4-5 3 0 0 0 1 10 7 +6.7
Malcolm Wrisby-Jefferson 9 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -3.1
David Rochester 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 3 5 +7.2
Sam Klores 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.4

* = starter