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2025-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 34.0% 66.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 42.9% 57.1% - โœ—
Margin 48.1% 51.9% +0.4 โœ— (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 54.4% 45.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 54.4% 45.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 61.1% 38.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 61.0% 39.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 49.1% 50.9% - โœ—

Actual: Harvard Crimson -7 (52-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kino Lilly Jr. 39 4-14 1-5 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 9 0 +8.0
Aaron Cooley 33 6-11 0-3 2-6 4 1 1 1 1 14 9 +12.0
AJ Lesburt Jr. 29 4-8 1-4 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 9 5 +5.0
Lyndel Erold 27 3-6 0-2 2-2 6 0 0 2 0 8 10 +15.0
N'famara Dabo 25 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 4 7 +9.0
Landon Lewis 21 2-8 0-0 5-6 6 0 1 0 2 9 6 -1.0
Malcolm Wrisby-Jefferson 17 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 4 6 3 -8.0
David Rochester 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 +0.0
Adrian Uchidiuno 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -5.0

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Thomas Batties Ii 36 3-7 1-2 0-0 6 1 0 2 3 7 6 -10.0
Robert Hinton 33 5-12 0-2 0-0 5 1 3 0 1 10 6 -8.0
Evan Nelson 32 4-9 2-5 0-0 2 1 3 0 3 10 4 +6.0
Louis Lesmond 31 1-6 1-3 1-2 4 2 1 1 2 4 4 -10.0
Chandler Pigge 31 4-12 0-3 1-1 9 2 1 0 4 9 5 -6.0
Tey Barbour 18 2-2 2-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 8 +4.0
Austin Hunt 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 6 1 -4.0
Ben Eisendrath 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -7.0

* = starter