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2025-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 65.2% 34.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 48.9% 51.1% - โœ—
Margin 44.9% 55.1% +1.1 โœ— (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 48.3% 51.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 48.3% 51.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.8% 54.2% - โœ—

Actual: Columbia Lions -8 (82-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chandler Pigge 39 10-16 3-6 3-4 8 3 3 1 3 26 22 +4.0
Evan Nelson 34 6-10 2-4 2-2 1 3 2 1 3 16 10 +9.0
Robert Hinton 33 10-15 1-1 7-8 1 2 4 0 1 28 19 +7.0
Louis Lesmond 29 4-10 2-6 2-4 1 2 0 0 2 12 3 +8.0
Austin Hunt 25 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 4 7 +1.0
Thomas Batties Ii 22 1-3 1-1 1-2 6 3 2 0 1 4 11 +6.0
Tey Barbour 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 +1.0
Xavier Nesbitt 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -7.0
Ben Eisendrath 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 +1.0

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kenny Noland 40 5-11 2-5 0-0 3 6 3 1 4 12 10 -6.0
Blair Thompson 32 2-7 1-6 6-6 6 1 2 0 4 11 9 -10.0
Avery Brown 23 4-12 2-3 3-6 1 2 1 0 2 13 3 -3.0
Gianni Cobb 22 6-8 0-0 4-5 1 2 4 0 4 16 11 +5.0
Josiah Cunningham 16 0-3 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 2 3 +0.0
Jake Tavroff 16 5-5 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 1 10 15 +0.0
Mason Ritter 15 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 1 +4.0
Gerard O'Keefe 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 5 5 -2.0
Zinou Eddine Bedri 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -11.0
Noah Robledo 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 +1.0
Nigel Clarkson 4 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 4 +0.0
Nicolo Romanelli 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -3.0
Robbie Stankard 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.0

* = starter