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2025-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 21.5% 78.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.1% 86.9% - โœ“
Margin 4.5% 95.5% +16.8 โœ“ (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 26.6% 73.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 26.6% 73.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.0% 98.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.9% 98.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 17.7% 82.3% - โœ“

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +29 (84-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Louis Lesmond 26 4-7 3-6 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 11 6 -7.5
Robert Hinton 25 2-8 0-1 2-3 3 3 1 0 1 6 4 -7.3
Thomas Batties Ii 24 0-7 0-3 1-2 5 2 1 0 1 1 1 -19.7
Chandler Pigge 24 5-14 3-8 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 13 6 -2.4
Evan Nelson 21 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 7 6 -9.1
Tey Barbour 20 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 7 4 -5.4
Austin Hunt 20 4-7 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 8 2 -5.8
Xavier Nesbitt 17 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2.4
Ben Eisendrath 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 1 -1.0
Dutch Dowdell 7 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -6.7
Payton Pitts 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -3.1
Greg Cooper 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.1

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Poulakidas 29 5-12 3-5 2-2 6 3 0 0 2 15 10 +12.0
Nick Townsend 28 6-11 1-1 9-11 12 3 1 2 2 22 27 +2.1
Bez Mbeng 28 3-7 1-3 5-6 3 3 2 0 2 12 11 +13.8
Casey Simmons 24 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 5 3 +0.8
Samson Aletan 24 4-8 0-0 3-4 6 0 1 2 0 11 12 -1.3
Isaac Celiscar 15 1-3 0-1 2-2 4 3 1 0 2 4 7 +11.3
Riley Fox 13 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 3 +11.2
Jordan Brathwaite 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 3 +2.6
Jack Molloy 10 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 5 +12.0
Trevor Mullin 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 2 +8.3
Devon Arlington 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -1.1
Teo Rice 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 1 4 +2.0
Jeannot Basima 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 +3.1

* = starter