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2025-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions Pennsylvania Quakers Spread Result
Elo 34.2% 65.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 47.3% 52.7% - โœ“
Margin 43.9% 56.1% +1.4 โœ“ (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 59.3% 40.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 61.3% 38.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 58.6% 41.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 58.8% 41.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.6% 53.4% - โœ“

Actual: Pennsylvania Quakers +15 (93-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kenny Noland 34 6-11 2-4 2-4 4 6 3 0 1 16 17 -10.0
Avery Brown 30 6-13 0-3 7-9 2 3 1 0 1 19 11 -6.0
Blair Thompson 23 2-4 1-2 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 7 8 -3.0
Noah Robledo 21 4-9 2-5 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 11 4 -16.0
Geronimo Rubio De La Rosa 21 3-9 1-2 0-0 0 0 4 0 2 7 0 -1.0
Gianni Cobb 18 2-7 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 -1 +1.0
Jake Tavroff 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 2 7 +0.0
Mason Ritter 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -17.0
Robbie Stankard 10 3-3 3-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 9 7 +5.0
Josiah Cunningham 10 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -9.0
Nicolo Romanelli 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -19.0

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ethan Roberts 37 4-13 3-10 4-4 10 5 0 0 4 15 13 +5.0
Sam Brown 36 9-12 8-10 4-5 3 2 2 0 0 30 25 +7.0
George Smith 32 5-10 3-6 1-2 4 4 0 0 1 14 11 +29.0
AJ Levine 32 1-4 0-1 2-3 9 5 0 0 3 4 11 +2.0
Nick Spinoso 19 4-7 0-1 5-6 3 2 1 1 5 13 8 +0.0
Augustus Gerhart 19 0-0 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 2 2 3 10 +14.0
Niklas Polonowski 13 3-6 3-6 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 11 6 +11.0
Dylan Williams 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 +11.0
Bradyn Foster 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.0

* = starter