🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Pennsylvania Quakers Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 26.7% 73.3% -
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% -
Margin 25.8% 74.2% +5.8 (20.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.8% 63.2% -
Efficiency 34.8% 65.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.2% 65.8% -
Log Adjusted 34.0% 66.0% -
Points Off/Def 37.4% 62.6% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson -15 (67-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Brown 34 6-11 3-7 4-4 3 4 0 0 0 19 15 +14.0
AJ Levine 33 3-4 1-1 2-2 3 4 1 0 5 9 8 +7.0
E. Roberts 30 7-14 4-7 3-3 3 3 2 0 1 21 14 +15.0
G. Smith 25 1-3 1-1 2-2 3 2 2 0 0 5 9 +14.0
N. Spinoso 23 7-11 0-0 0-2 5 2 2 1 2 14 11 +12.0
N. Polonowski 22 2-9 1-8 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 -2 +0.0
A. Gerhart 16 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 2 0 2 6 -1.0
D. Williams 9 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 7 +5.0
B. Foster 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +4.0

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pigge 37 7-12 1-3 0-1 4 1 2 1 0 15 11 -15.0
T. Batties II 32 4-12 2-7 2-2 6 3 0 3 1 12 11 -12.0
L. Lesmond 26 1-6 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 2 -4 -11.0
A. Hunt 23 6-9 0-2 1-2 8 2 2 0 0 13 16 +1.0
R. Hinton 23 5-8 1-1 2-3 3 1 0 0 3 13 6 -8.0
E. Nelson 22 3-4 1-1 2-2 6 1 0 0 5 9 7 -15.0
T. Barbour 21 1-6 1-6 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 3 -2 -11.0
B. Eisendrath 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 2 +4.0
D. Dowdell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0

* = starter