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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 82.9% 17.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 82.7% 17.3% - โœ“
Margin 91.3% 8.7% -12.9 โœ“ (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 65.4% 34.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 65.4% 34.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 92.2% 7.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 92.3% 7.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 74.9% 25.1% - โœ“

Actual: Columbia Lions -4 (88-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Poulakidas 36 8-17 6-12 7-9 5 1 1 0 1 29 18 -3.6
Casey Simmons 34 4-9 1-3 3-4 9 2 0 3 3 12 14 +0.4
Bez Mbeng 33 4-8 2-3 9-13 6 9 1 0 5 19 22 -1.4
Nick Townsend 30 8-12 1-2 3-3 9 4 1 0 2 20 20 +4.8
Isaac Celiscar 23 3-8 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 1 2 8 8 -11.8
Samson Aletan 21 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 +3.6
Trevor Mullin 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -3.8
Riley Fox 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -7.7
Jack Molloy 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -10.5
Jordan Brathwaite 3 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -1.5

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Geronimo Rubio De La Rosa 38 5-15 3-10 4-5 2 2 3 0 1 17 8 +4.1
Kenny Noland 34 7-17 2-7 0-0 4 4 0 1 0 16 8 +1.9
Avery Brown 34 6-12 2-5 7-9 1 4 1 0 1 21 14 +3.7
Blair Thompson 24 4-10 1-5 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 9 4 +8.3
Jake Tavroff 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 4 7 -0.9
Noah Robledo 16 1-4 1-3 2-2 4 1 1 1 0 5 8 -0.7
Robbie Stankard 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 3 8 +3.2
Josiah Cunningham 9 2-5 0-2 2-3 1 1 2 0 0 6 5 +9.2
Mason Ritter 5 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 1 0 1 4 4 +6.4
Gianni Cobb 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -2.5
Nicolo Romanelli 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +4.3
Richard Nweke 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.1

* = starter