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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 49.3% 50.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 42.8% 57.2% - โœ—
Margin 28.3% 71.7% +5.1 โœ— (18.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 39.6% 60.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 32.9% 67.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 33.0% 67.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 37.5% 62.5% - โœ—

Actual: Brown Bears -13 (67-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Thomas Batties Ii 34 5-11 1-3 2-6 4 1 2 2 1 13 10 +13.0
Louis Lesmond 34 5-9 2-2 3-4 3 2 2 1 1 15 13 +17.0
Chandler Pigge 30 6-11 2-4 3-3 11 3 2 0 1 17 21 +23.0
Evan Nelson 29 2-8 1-4 2-2 2 6 5 0 2 7 10 +15.0
Robert Hinton 26 6-8 1-1 0-0 3 3 2 0 2 13 11 +18.0
Tey Barbour 20 2-7 2-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 6 -1 -12.0
Austin Hunt 18 4-6 0-2 1-2 5 0 0 0 2 9 6 -9.0
Ben Eisendrath 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 4 -5.0

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kino Lilly Jr. 32 8-15 4-7 2-2 4 4 0 0 6 22 9 -7.0
Landon Lewis 29 2-10 0-0 0-2 8 3 3 0 4 4 4 -11.0
AJ Lesburt Jr. 27 4-10 3-8 3-3 5 0 0 2 3 14 8 -14.0
Aaron Cooley 26 3-6 0-1 1-2 6 0 1 0 2 7 6 -21.0
David Rochester 20 3-5 2-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 8 5 +6.0
Adrian Uchidiuno 19 3-7 1-4 0-1 2 2 2 2 2 7 6 -1.0
Lyndel Erold 19 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 2 1 2 1 3 4 -10.0
Jeremiah Jenkins 14 1-2 0-0 0-1 2 2 0 0 0 2 4 -1.0
N'famara Dabo 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1.0
Malcolm Wrisby-Jefferson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +0.0

* = starter