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2025-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 16.6% 83.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.1% 86.9% - โœ“
Margin 6.7% 93.3% +14.5 โœ“ (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 33.2% 66.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 33.2% 66.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 5.6% 94.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 5.4% 94.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.5% 78.5% - โœ“

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +21 (79-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Landon Lewis 37 7-14 0-0 0-1 8 1 0 0 3 14 6 -14.0
Kino Lilly Jr. 36 5-12 3-8 0-0 2 5 0 0 4 13 4 -12.4
Lyndel Erold 32 5-8 2-5 3-4 3 3 2 0 0 15 15 -15.5
AJ Lesburt Jr. 28 1-5 1-3 1-2 4 1 0 1 3 4 2 -6.3
Aaron Cooley 25 2-7 0-2 3-4 4 1 0 1 0 7 6 -17.7
N'famara Dabo 15 0-1 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 3 1 0 6 -10.1
Jeremiah Jenkins 14 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 3 -2.7
Malcolm Wrisby-Jefferson 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 0 -1 -5.0
Adrian Uchidiuno 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -5.5
David Rochester 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Poulakidas 33 4-11 1-5 0-0 4 3 2 0 2 9 5 +16.5
Bez Mbeng 31 4-9 2-5 0-0 3 4 4 0 1 10 11 +13.7
Nick Townsend 31 6-15 1-4 5-6 8 3 1 1 1 18 15 +14.9
Casey Simmons 30 7-11 0-1 4-4 7 1 1 0 0 18 16 +16.7
Samson Aletan 25 5-7 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 0 12 11 +13.8
Isaac Celiscar 23 2-7 1-3 3-4 7 1 0 0 0 8 9 +8.4
Riley Fox 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 4 2 +7.6
Trevor Mullin 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +2.8
Jack Molloy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1

* = starter