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2025-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 52.0% 48.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 65.2% 34.8% - โœ“
Margin 58.2% 41.8% -1.8 โœ“ (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 55.6% 44.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 55.6% 44.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 71.5% 28.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 71.6% 28.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.8% 46.2% - โœ“

Actual: Harvard Crimson -4 (64-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caden Pierce 37 4-7 0-2 1-3 8 4 1 0 1 9 14 +2.3
Dalen Davis 36 2-12 1-5 4-4 4 3 3 0 1 9 6 +12.4
Xaivian Lee 31 8-13 3-5 3-5 3 2 0 0 3 22 11 -2.6
Blake Peters 29 2-6 2-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 4 +4.8
Philip Byriel 27 3-6 1-2 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 7 6 -5.0
Jackson Hicke 17 2-6 0-0 4-4 5 2 0 1 1 8 9 -0.7
Malik Abdullahi 13 3-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 7 6 -0.4
Jack Scott 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.9
CJ Happy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 +2.0
Jack Stanton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Thomas Batties Ii 39 4-7 1-2 4-4 4 1 0 1 4 13 8 -4.2
Chandler Pigge 37 6-13 3-6 0-0 12 1 3 0 3 15 15 -1.3
Robert Hinton 34 4-11 0-1 6-8 6 2 2 0 1 14 12 +0.6
Evan Nelson 29 2-6 2-5 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 6 9 -5.6
Louis Lesmond 29 3-7 3-5 3-4 1 2 1 1 1 12 9 +5.4
Austin Hunt 20 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 -4.0
Tey Barbour 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.8
Ben Eisendrath 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +1.1

* = starter