Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Columbia Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Columbia Lions +13 (85-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bergens | 34 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | -5.5 |
| P. Johnson | 33 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | -13.2 |
| Braden Sparks | 29 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | -12.5 |
| Louis Bleechmore | 24 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | -9.7 |
| Deon Perry | 18 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | -12.7 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Peyton Smith | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -10.6 |
| K. Jenkins | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2.1 |
| Noah Best | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Riek | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.1 |
Columbia Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Noland | 38 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | +16.5 |
| Geronimo Rubio De La Rosa | 34 | 8-15 | 5-11 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 16 | +12.5 |
| Avery Brown | 30 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | +7.6 |
| Zinou Eddine Bedri | 29 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 29 | +12.5 |
| Mason Ritter | 27 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | +12.8 |
| Nicolo Romanelli | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +3.8 |
| Nigel Clarkson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -7.2 |
| Jake Tavroff | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +7.9 |
| Gerard O'Keefe | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.0 |
| Robbie Stankard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter