Model Predictions
| Model | Vermont Catamounts | Yale Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.5% | 95.5% | +16.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Yale Bulldogs +15 (65-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Vermont Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Hurley | 34 | 8-13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 13 | -6.9 |
| Shamir Bogues | 33 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | -12.8 |
| Ileri Ayo-Faleye | 30 | 1-13 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -14.3 |
| Jace Roquemore | 29 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -11.8 |
| Sean Blake | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -8.9 |
| Noah Barnett | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3.3 |
| Seth Joba | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Shy Odom | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4.1 |
| Sam Alamutu | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Gavin Perryman | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -5.7 |
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bez Mbeng | 35 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 12 | +17.0 |
| Casey Simmons | 32 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 21 | +16.1 |
| Nick Townsend | 31 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | +10.1 |
| Isaac Celiscar | 24 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +18.3 |
| Trevor Mullin | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +9.8 |
| Jordan Brathwaite | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +6.4 |
| Samson Aletan | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Jack Molloy | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Riley Fox | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4.3 |
| Devon Arlington | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.1 |
* = starter