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2024-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Holy Cross Crusaders Spread Result
Elo 79.7% 20.3% -
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% -
Margin 56.5% 43.5% -1.4 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% -
Efficiency 49.0% 51.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.4% 33.6% -
Log Adjusted 66.6% 33.4% -
Points Off/Def 52.8% 47.2% -

Actual: Holy Cross Crusaders +1 (68-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pigge * 34 3-10 0-1 0-0 10 2 0 0 1 6 7 +10.5
T. Batties II * 34 4-8 1-1 0-0 8 1 2 2 3 9 11 +6.7
L. Lesmond * 32 3-12 1-8 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 9 -1 -3.2
E. Nelson * 31 5-11 3-7 1-1 5 5 0 0 5 14 8 -2.9
R. Hinton * 29 8-15 0-2 3-3 8 0 2 0 1 19 13 +0.5
T. Barbour 19 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 3 -6.6
B. Eisendrath 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 3 5 -1.5
X. Nesbitt 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2.2
D. Dowdell 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -10.4
L. Byrne 1 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -5.3

Holy Cross Crusaders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Nugent * 37 5-8 1-3 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 13 10 -1.4
T. Boston * 37 3-7 2-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 3 8 6 +0.5
M. Green * 36 6-13 0-2 6-6 8 3 1 0 3 18 14 +2.9
C. Kenney * 28 2-7 0-0 3-4 2 4 0 4 3 7 7 -1.8
A. Richard * 17 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1 +0.3
K. Singleton 25 3-9 1-6 0-2 4 0 0 0 1 7 1 +9.5
J. Feroah 20 5-5 3-3 0-0 4 1 4 1 1 13 17 +2.5

* = starter