Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | Pennsylvania Quakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.6% | 33.4% | -3.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pennsylvania Quakers -15 (53-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TK Simpkins * | 37 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +14.1 |
| Sam Sherry * | 31 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | +16.5 |
| Nick Dorn * | 30 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | +14.0 |
| Matthew Van Komen * | 29 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 27 | +5.0 |
| D. King * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +7.6 |
| TJ Simpkins | 24 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Isaac Harrell | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | +6.3 |
| Kendall Campbell | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.2 |
Pennsylvania Quakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Roberts * | 36 | 6-15 | 3-9 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | -13.6 |
| Nick Spinoso * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | -12.7 |
| Dylan Williams * | 27 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | -11.2 |
| Sam Brown * | 25 | 1-12 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | -15.1 |
| Michelangelo Oberti * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1.7 |
| George Smith | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -10.4 |
| AJ Levine | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Johnnie Walter | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Niklas Polonowski | 9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Augustus Gerhart | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.1 |
* = starter