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2024-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears Pennsylvania Quakers Spread Result
Elo 50.7% 49.3% -
Bradley-Terry 60.5% 39.5% -
Margin 60.6% 39.4% -2.4 (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 68.7% 31.3% -
Efficiency 70.4% 29.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.5% 28.5% -
Log Adjusted 71.6% 28.4% -
Points Off/Def 52.8% 47.2% -

Actual: Pennsylvania Quakers +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Tynes * 36 7-15 1-2 0-0 3 6 3 0 4 15 8 -15.2
J. Clayton * 32 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 5 1 1 0 4 10 -15.3
Q. Burns * 31 6-12 1-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 13 8 -13.5
A.J. Lopez * 30 5-10 2-6 1-1 1 3 0 1 2 13 6 -7.7
K. Steele * 15 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 +8.1
C. Mantis 22 3-8 2-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 8 3 -12.3
K. Gribben 17 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 5 4 -17.4
L. Carey 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 +2.8
R. Tutic 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -6.6

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Spinoso * 35 6-12 1-2 1-2 9 8 2 0 6 14 15 +16.1
E. Roberts * 35 8-16 2-4 5-5 10 4 3 0 3 23 21 +18.2
S. Brown * 34 3-8 0-4 13-14 4 0 0 0 2 19 13 +16.0
D. Williams * 32 4-8 2-4 2-3 1 1 0 0 2 12 4 +5.1
M. Oberti * 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -1.0
G. Smith 25 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 2 +15.4
J. Walter 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 2 4 -0.4
AJ Levine 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 +11.0
A. Gerhart 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter