Model Predictions
| Model | Navy Midshipmen | Pennsylvania Quakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pennsylvania Quakers -8 (78-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Benigni * | 29 | 3-12 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +8.3 |
| Aidan Kehoe * | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Donovan Draper * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | +3.1 |
| Jordan Pennick * | 21 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +5.1 |
| Lysander Rehnstrom * | 15 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Jinwoo Kim | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +12.1 |
| Cam Cole | 19 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +8.3 |
| Jack Medalie | 15 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | +4.0 |
| Mike Woods | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Carnegie Johnson | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Sam Krist | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1.0 |
| Mitch Fischer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
Pennsylvania Quakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Roberts * | 31 | 11-18 | 2-8 | 9-13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 18 | -8.3 |
| Sam Brown * | 27 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | -16.0 |
| Nick Spinoso * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 19 | -10.3 |
| Dylan Williams * | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7.1 |
| Niklas Polonowski * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -5.0 |
| AJ Levine | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -4.3 |
| George Smith | 23 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +7.9 |
| Michelangelo Oberti | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +5.9 |
| Johnnie Walter | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Augustus Gerhart | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Michael Zanoni | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.0 |
| Chris Ubochi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter