๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2024-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Stony Brook Seawolves Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 22.4% 77.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.9% 80.1% - โœ“
Margin 12.0% 88.0% +11.0 โœ“ (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 24.6% 75.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 24.6% 75.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.8% 88.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 11.8% 88.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.0% 74.0% - โœ“

Actual: Brown Bears +23 (77-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin O'Connor * 34 1-6 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 2 0 -17.5
Joe Octave * 33 9-21 0-4 6-9 7 1 2 0 2 24 11 -23.4
Ben Wight * 31 7-7 0-0 3-4 5 0 3 0 3 17 15 -8.6
CJ Luster II * 28 1-7 1-5 1-2 5 2 1 0 2 4 3 -19.4
Andre Snoddy * 20 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 0 -1 -13.7
Jared Frey 23 2-8 0-3 1-1 1 1 0 1 0 5 0 -17.2
Nick Woodard 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -8.0
Sabry Philip 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -8.2
Leon Nahar 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Jeremiah Nyarko 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -1.0

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kino Lilly Jr. * 32 2-7 2-5 0-0 1 2 2 0 3 6 1 +31.5
AJ Lesburt Jr. * 27 6-10 4-8 0-0 1 2 1 1 1 16 10 +19.4
Aaron Cooley * 26 7-9 2-4 1-2 5 2 2 0 0 17 17 +23.4
Landon Lewis * 24 5-8 0-0 2-2 8 3 0 2 2 12 15 +23.5
Malcolm Wrisby-Jefferson * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 1 1 0 7 +15.1
Jeremiah Jenkins 22 2-8 2-6 1-2 3 3 1 0 2 7 4 +4.3
Lyndel Erold 17 3-6 1-4 2-3 2 1 1 0 0 9 7 +14.1
Wyatt DeGraaf 14 2-3 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -7.8
Sam Klores 8 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 2 -3.9
David Rochester 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.9
Luke Paragon 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 +1.0
Jerrell Barron 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter