Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Yale Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.5% | 98.5% | +23.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Yale Bulldogs +25 (91-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Bleechmore * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | -12.6 |
| Deon Perry * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -9.9 |
| J. Bergens * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -9.2 |
| P. Johnson * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -6.8 |
| Peyton Smith * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Riek | 22 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | +3.6 |
| Braden Sparks | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Noah Best | 14 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +1.9 |
| B. Seck | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -14.4 |
| Michael Rogan | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1.9 |
| Matt Curtis | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -3.4 |
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bez Mbeng * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | +8.8 |
| John Poulakidas * | 30 | 7-8 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 16 | +7.8 |
| Nick Townsend * | 25 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | -1.9 |
| Samson Aletan * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 10 | -3.8 |
| Yassine Gharram * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -5.2 |
| Isaac Celiscar | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +8.0 |
| Casey Simmons | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +9.9 |
| Trevor Mullin | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +11.8 |
| Jack Molloy | 9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +8.2 |
| Jordan Brathwaite | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +5.9 |
| Riley Fox | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Devon Arlington | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.1 |
| Teo Rice | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +4.0 |
* = starter