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2024-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Colgate Raiders Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 26.1% 73.9% -
Bradley-Terry 44.2% 55.8% -
Margin 39.6% 60.4% +2.3 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 53.6% 46.4% -
Efficiency 54.1% 45.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.5% 50.5% -
Log Adjusted 49.8% 50.2% -
Points Off/Def 43.9% 56.1% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson +11 (78-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jones * 32 5-12 3-6 0-0 1 3 1 1 2 13 5 -10.7
N. Louis-Jacques * 30 5-10 3-6 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 13 6 +1.0
B. Cummins * 28 2-8 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 4 -2 -3.8
S. Wright * 27 4-7 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 8 7 -17.1
B. Forrest * 23 4-6 1-3 0-0 5 5 0 0 1 9 12 -5.8
C. Baker 24 4-9 3-7 0-0 4 1 3 0 2 11 8 -10.6
K. Carlesimo 18 3-6 3-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 9 5 -10.0
C. Brennan 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 2 +0.0
S. Clark 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0
J. Ahayere 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Batties II * 36 5-11 3-6 4-4 3 3 2 3 3 17 14 +11.8
C. Pigge * 34 7-11 0-2 2-3 9 3 2 0 2 16 17 +10.7
L. Lesmond * 33 2-8 1-4 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 5 6 +9.7
R. Hinton * 30 8-13 1-3 1-2 9 5 2 0 1 18 20 +7.7
E. Nelson * 29 2-6 2-5 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 6 4 -1.2
T. Barbour 13 3-6 3-6 2-2 1 1 2 0 0 11 9 +11.9
B. Eisendrath 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 3 +1.0
X. Nesbitt 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -1.0
L. Byrne 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Dowdell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.0

* = starter