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2024-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Stony Brook Seawolves Spread Result
Elo 86.0% 14.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 91.8% 8.2% - โœ“
Margin 95.7% 4.3% -17.1 โœ“ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 79.2% 20.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 79.2% 20.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 95.4% 4.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 95.4% 4.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 82.1% 17.9% - โœ“

Actual: Stony Brook Seawolves -22 (64-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Townsend * 27 7-12 2-2 2-4 9 5 1 0 3 18 18 +11.7
John Poulakidas * 26 8-12 4-6 2-3 3 2 1 0 0 22 16 +19.9
Bez Mbeng * 24 3-10 1-3 0-0 3 6 3 0 0 7 9 +14.0
Yassine Gharram * 23 6-8 1-2 0-2 7 2 2 0 0 13 16 +17.0
Samson Aletan * 21 3-7 0-0 1-4 2 0 0 2 0 7 4 +20.8
Isaac Celiscar 19 4-8 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 8 9 +10.2
Casey Simmons 15 2-3 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 0 4 4 +4.8
Trevor Mullin 13 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 0 1 +5.9
Jack Molloy 11 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 5 4 -9.3
Jordan Brathwaite 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.2
Riley Fox 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 3 +1.1
Devon Arlington 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 +1.1
Emir Buyukhanli 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -2.9
Teo Rice 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0
Jeannot Basima 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin O'Connor * 33 1-5 0-1 2-2 5 5 0 0 2 4 7 -17.5
Joe Octave * 32 5-15 1-1 7-9 6 3 1 3 4 18 12 -17.3
Ben Wight * 27 4-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 8 4 -7.1
CJ Luster II * 26 5-10 5-8 1-2 3 2 1 0 2 16 10 -8.0
Andre Snoddy * 21 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 3 0 0 2 3 6 -4.3
Nick Woodard 23 3-8 0-4 0-1 2 1 1 0 2 6 0 -30.2
Jared Frey 18 3-4 3-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 9 6 -2.4
Sabry Philip 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.1
Leon Nahar 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.3
Quin Gorman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter