Model Predictions
| Model | Harvard Crimson | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles +12 (67-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hinton * | 33 | 7-15 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | -12.2 |
| Chandler Pigge * | 32 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 17 | -11.2 |
| Thomas Batties Ii * | 32 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -6.4 |
| Evan Nelson * | 29 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | -13.4 |
| Luca Ace-Nasteski * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Tey Barbour | 24 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -3.8 |
| Ben Eisendrath | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4.4 |
| Xavier Nesbitt | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | +1.3 |
| Dutch Dowdell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| L. Byrne | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Jones * | 30 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +19.8 |
| Geoff Sprouse * | 30 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +9.2 |
| Matt Rogers * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +11.2 |
| Colin Smalls * | 28 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | +7.9 |
| Matt Mayock * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +8.9 |
| Elijah Stephens | 24 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Lincoln Ball | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Eric Michaels | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Wyatt Nausadis | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +5.0 |
| Julen Iturbe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter