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2024-11-10

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 42.1% 57.9% -
Bradley-Terry 49.9% 50.1% -
Margin 36.7% 63.3% +3.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% -
Efficiency 52.4% 47.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.2% 53.8% -
Log Adjusted 46.2% 53.8% -
Points Off/Def 40.9% 59.1% -

Actual: Brown Bears -2 (67-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Clayton * 35 7-8 2-2 2-2 4 4 1 0 3 18 16 -0.7
Q. Burns * 33 4-12 1-3 0-0 10 0 0 0 3 9 4 -0.1
A.J. Lopez * 33 6-13 0-5 4-4 2 1 0 1 2 16 5 +2.2
K. Tynes * 32 4-11 0-1 4-4 2 1 3 1 0 12 8 -0.8
K. Steele * 18 1-5 0-0 1-5 2 1 0 2 2 3 1 -4.3
K. Gribben 18 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 1 2 6 8 +0.8
C. Mantis 16 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 5 7 -1.7
L. Carey 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +4.8
R. Tutic 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
N. Perovic 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.0

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lilly Jr. * 38 6-17 6-14 0-0 4 5 0 0 4 18 6 +0.7
A. Cooley * 32 5-10 0-1 3-5 5 0 1 0 1 13 8 +9.3
L. Lewis * 31 5-8 0-0 5-10 4 0 1 1 6 15 7 +0.7
L. Erold * 30 2-6 1-3 5-6 4 0 3 0 1 10 10 -6.2
J. Jenkins * 13 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 +0.1
M. Wrisby-Jefferson 27 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 1 1 8 11 -1.3
D. Rochester 10 1-3 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -4.5
W. DeGraaf 7 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 +7.3
A. Uchidiuno 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -6.7
S. Klores 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 +2.2
N. Dabo 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.0

* = starter